۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۸, سه‌شنبه

Chavez: To stop Syria’s horrors, halt Assad enablers



Linda Chavez is chair of the Center for Equal Opportunity and a senior fellow at the Niskanen Center

 
By: Linda Chavez
Boston Herald, February 26, 2018 - With the recent attack that killed 17 people at a school in Parkland, Fla., it is easy to miss the humanitarian crisis that occurred across the globe in Syria.
Last Tuesday, hundreds of civilians, including children, died when Syria’s government and its allies executed a direct strike on a rebel stronghold in eastern Ghouta — where Syrian forces used sarin in 2013, killing an estimated 1,500 people. The bloody faces of small children are all too familiar in this vicious war by Bashar Assad and his Iranian and Russian allies, who are intent on keeping him in power.
More than 5 million people have fled the regime. Another 6 million have been displaced within Syria. And hundreds of thousands of people have died in the civil war.
Though this carnage has drawn condemnation from the U.S., Europe and elsewhere, as long as Assad’s partners in crimes against humanity, Russia and Iran, continue to supply arms and fighters to the region, the killing will not stop.
The United Nations has been impotent to impose meaningful sanctions because Russia, a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, has veto authority to stop them, which it has used seven times so far.
But what of Iran’s role? Why has the international community not done more to focus on Iran’s activities in the region? And more importantly, why are U.N. bodies inviting members of Iran’s government to participate in human rights councils at the very time Iran is helping Syria massacre civilians?
The U.N. Human Rights Council meets in Geneva this week, and one of the speakers scheduled to address the group is Iranian Justice Minister Alireza Avayi. That any official of the Iranian regime should address the council is appalling, but that this particular official should do so at this particular time is doubly so.
Iran’s human rights record is one of the worst in the world, a matter affirmed not just by independent human rights organizations but by the U.N.’s own reports. The latest report on human rights conditions in Iran, issued in August 2017, criticized the government for its abuses against its own people, including at least 247 executions — many for drug offenses — as well as floggings, binding, amputations and stoning, not to mention the routine abuse of women’s rights and those of religious and ethnic minorities.
But Avayi’s participation is particularly offensive given his personal history of egregious human rights violations.
Avayi was appointed by Iranian President Hasan Rouhani in August as the minister of justice for the Islamic Republic of Iran, but he has long been an arm of the mullahs who have ruled Iran for nearly 40 years. The European Union has accused Avayi of gross human rights abuses as head of the Tehran judiciary, responsible for arbitrary detentions, numerous executions and the violation of rights of prisoners.
But Avayi’s most infamous acts were his involvement in the mass executions that took place in 1988, when the regime executed more than 100,000 political prisoners and buried them in mass graves. Avayi was part of a so-called “death board” that oversaw these executions. These atrocities have only recently been recognized outside the community of the Iranian opposition group whose members constituted many of the victims, the Mujahedeen-e-Khalq.
Avayi’s human rights abuses did not end there, however. They have continued to the present, including his department’s involvement in the torture and murder of dissidents after the 2009 protests in Tehran. So how can such a man be allowed to speak before an international body whose purpose is to oversee human rights?
If we want to stop the bloodshed in Syria and the entire region, we must do more to prevent Assad’s enablers. As long as Russia and Iran provide weapons, military forces and financial support to Assad, children and other innocent civilians will continue to die. Stopping the flow of money, arms and fighters to the region might be difficult, but some measures should be easy: Do not allow those involved in mass murder to address a U.N. gathering whose whole purpose is to protect human rights.
Linda Chavez was the U.S. expert to the United Nations Sub-Commission on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights from 1992 to 1996. She is chair of the Center for Equal Opportunity and a senior fellow at the Niskanen Center.

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۷, دوشنبه

Rewrite Iran Deal? Europeans Offer a Different Solution: A New Chapter



President Trump with Secretary of State Rex W. Tillerson, and Lt. Gen. H. R. McMaster, the national security adviser,

By MARK LANDLER, DAVID E. SANGER and GARDINER HARRIS

WASHINGTON, New York Times, FEB. 26, 2018 — President Trump’s threat to rip up the Iran nuclear deal has touched off an urgent scramble in European capitals to preserve the agreement — not by rewriting it, but by creating a successor deal that would halt Iran’s ballistic missile program and make permanent the restrictions on its ability to produce nuclear fuel.
The State Department is trying to win European support for strict new terms that would essentially be presented to Iran as a fait accompli, with the threat of renewed sanctions if it fails to comply. The Iranians have so far dismissed the exercise as a backdoor effort to reopen the 2015 agreement, negotiated by Mr. Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama.
The trans-Atlantic talks, which are being led by a low-key State Department official, Brian H. Hook, are fraught with risks — not least that Mr. Trump may reject whatever the Europeans offer him. He has called the agreement “the worst deal” ever and has demanded that Britain, France and Germany fix it by May 12 or he will pull the United States out.
Talking points that Secretary of State Rex W. Tillerson recently circulated to American diplomats in Europe warned that “in the absence of a clear commitment from your side to address these issues, the United States will not again waive sanctions in order to stay in the Iran nuclear deal.”
The instructions, which were shown to The New York Times, stipulate that the Europeans agree to three key fixes: a commitment to renegotiate limits on missile testing by Iran; an assurance that inspectors have unfettered access to Iranian military bases; and an extension of the deal’s expiration dates to prevent Iran from resuming the production of nuclear fuel long after the current restrictions expire in 2030.
European diplomats said there was scope for an agreement on missiles and inspections, but not yet on the length of the deal. They argue that rewriting those terms would break the bargain they struck, not only with Iran but also with Russia and China, two other signatories. And breaching the deal, they say, would free Iran to pursue nuclear weapons again.
That is why, as the two sides prepare to meet again in Berlin next month, the Europeans are floating the concept of an add-on deal, which would extend rather than upend the existing deal. In Paris last week, they asked Mr. Hook to guarantee that if they agreed to an extension, Mr. Trump would promise not to tear up the accord on some other pretext.
Mr. Hook, a Republican lawyer who is the State Department’s director of policy planning, said he would bring the request back to Washington. European diplomats said they worry that Mr. Trump’s scorn for the deal runs so deep that he would find other reasons to pull out. Last month, he warned that the accord “is under continuous review, and our participation can be canceled by me as president at any time.”
Even if Mr. Trump did pledge to abide by the deal, it is far from clear that a successor deal would be endorsed by Russia or China, let alone the Iranians, who signaled in recent weeks that they are planning a new project — a fleet of nuclear-powered ships, fueled by Iranian-made reactors — that they say would justify resuming the production of nuclear fuel as the limits imposed by the deal expire over the next dozen years.
Still, the mere fact that the United States and Europe are trying to work out a compromise attests to the desire, on both sides, to find a solution that would satisfy Mr. Trump while not unraveling the deal.
The president’s national security team — Mr. Tillerson, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, and the national security adviser, Lt. Gen. H. R. McMaster — has on three occasions talked him out of ripping up the deal. With each deadline to reimpose sanctions on Iran, that task gets harder.
There is an element of diplomatic legerdemain to the exercise, European diplomats acknowledge: How do you convince Mr. Trump that you have changed the deal without actually changing it?
“The supplemental deal is a diplomatic device that is being used to allow the Europeans to declare victory,” said Mark Dubowitz, a leading critic of the Iran deal who is nevertheless open to the idea.
“They can say they were able to keep the deal, remain steadfast to their commitment not to renegotiate it, but also to satisfy the U.S. and their own concerns that the length of the deal was too short,” said Mr. Dubowitz, the chief executive of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
By law, Mr. Trump must decide every 120 days whether to continue suspending longstanding American economic sanctions against Tehran, which the United States committed to lift as part of the deal. If he were to reimpose them, as he has threatened, that would effectively scuttle the deal.
Iran complains that Mr. Trump’s threats have already kept European banks from investing in major projects in Iran, denying it the benefits that were promised for giving up its enrichment program.
“If the same policy of confusion and uncertainties over the future of the deal continue,” Iran’s deputy foreign minister, Abbas Araqchi, who was a member of the negotiating team, said last week, “if companies and banks are not working with Iran, we cannot remain in a deal that has no benefit for us.”
The International Atomic Energy Agency said last week that it had received formal notice from Tehran about a “decision that has been taken to construct naval nuclear propulsion in future.”
Nothing in the 2015 agreement prohibits the construction of nuclear reactors to power ships and submarines, and those reactors would almost certainly not use nuclear-weapons-grade fuel. But they could provide a pretext for Iran to resume uranium enrichment.
The Europeans are most comfortable with enforcing new limits on Iran’s intercontinental ballistic missile development and testing. Missiles are not covered by the nuclear accord, but rather by a United Nations resolution, whose wording was negotiated by then-Secretary of State John Kerry just as the nuclear accord was coming together in Vienna in July 2015.
The State Department’s talking points said the United States viewed the nuclear and missile programs as “inseparable,” and said that “Iran’s development and testing of missiles should be subject to severe sanctions.” The Europeans have not gone that far, at least yet.
Inspections are potentially more problematic, given the administration’s rejection of arguments by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps that all military-related sites are off limits to international inspectors.
But this has not been an issue yet: The inspections have been limited to declared nuclear sites, and the United Nations nuclear agency affirmed last week that it had been given all the access it sought. Inspectors have said they would try to inspect military sites only if they had intelligence suggesting that surreptitious nuclear activity was underway.
Once a deal is struck with the Europeans, administration officials intend to seek approval from Russia, China and Iran. But concerns that such a deal could not possibly pass muster with Iran will not deter them, a senior official said. Russia and China’s lack of participation would also matter little, given the stark consequences for Iran’s economy if Europe and the United States reimpose sanctions, this person said.
While American and European negotiators are working feverishly on a deal to preserve the 2015 accord, there are also preliminary discussions about what will happen if they fall short.
Reimposing sanctions, such as blacklisting the Central Bank of Iran, would cause serious problems for European companies, potentially precipitating a split in the trans-Atlantic alliance. But the president, Mr. Dubowitz noted, has the authority to phase in sanctions, which he could use as leverage to give negotiators more time to work out an agreement.
He could, for example, impose sanctions on the central bank for its support of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, which is accused of supporting terrorism, but waive the imposition of so-called secondary sanctions on foreign companies that do business with the bank until the next deadline in July.
For the Europeans, who are mostly satisfied with the deal and face no domestic political pressure to pull out, there is little joy in this exercise. But they feel they have no choice but to go along with it. One diplomat compared it to humoring an angry relative who controlled a family vacation estate, and periodically threatened to burn it down.

Nikki Haley: The Human Rights Council should be ashamed to allow Avaei to address its membership



Ambassador Haley on Iran Human Rights Violator Speaking at UN Human Rights Council

Press Release: Ambassador Haley on Iran Human Rights Violator Speaking at UN Human Rights Council

February 25, 2018
This week, Iran’s Minister of Justice, Seyyed Alireza Avaei, is set to address the UN Human Rights Council. Mr. Avaei is responsible for some of the worst human rights violations in Iran, including preventing political freedoms and promoting repression, violence, and extrajudicial killings of political prisoners.
“The Human Rights Council should be ashamed to allow Mr. Avaei to address its membership. Yet again the Council discredits itself by allowing serial human rights abusers to highjack its work and make a mockery of its mandate to promote universal human rights. This does nothing but reinforce the United States’ call for much needed reforms at the Council for it to be viewed as a good investment of our time and money,” said Ambassador Haley.

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۶, یکشنبه

UN chief wants Syria ceasefire 'immediately



United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres

 United NationsSecretary-General Antonio Guterres today welcomed the Security Council's demand for a 30-day ceasefire in Syria and said it must be 'immediately' implemented.
With Russia's backing, the council voted unanimously to demand the truce 'without delay' as Syrian war planes pounded the rebel-held enclave of Eastern Ghouta.
'The secretary-general stresses his expectation that the resolution will be immediately implemented and sustained, particularly to ensure the immediate, safe, unimpeded and sustained delivery of humanitarian aid and services, the evacuation of the critically sick and wounded and the alleviation of the suffering of the Syrian people,' UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric said.
Guterres reminded all sides of their 'absolute obligation' to protect civilians, adding that 'efforts to combat terrorism do not supersede these obligations.
'The long-delayed vote at the council came as the death toll from seven days of bombardment of Eastern Ghouta rose to more than 500.

Iranian military chief of staff: Assad and Iran will continue assault on Ghouta



Iranian military chief of staff said Iran and Assad regime will continue attacks on Eastern Ghouta

Iranian military chief of staff said Iran and Assad regime will continue attacks on Eastern Ghouta, according to Reuters, but will respect a UN resolution demanding a 30-day truce elsewhere across Syria.
The Iranian official claimed that opposition-held areas in Rural Damascus “are not covered by the ceasefire and clean-up (operations) will continue there,” the semi-official news agency Tasnim quoted General Mohammad Baqeri as saying.
Assad militias, however, targeted on Sunday (Feb. 250 opposition-held areas not only in Eastern Ghouta but also in Hama province, according to our correspondents.
Twelve civilians, including children were killed from regime shelling and Russian airstrikes in different towns and cities of Eastern Ghouta today, while regime militias conducted an incursion to retake opposition-held enclave, taking advantage of the adopted the UN ceasefire resolution.
In Hama province, 4 civilians were killed including 2 children as regime militias targeted Kafarzeita city with heavy artillery missiles, while Russian aircraft targeted the outskirts of Kafarzeita and Al-Zaka village in the northern countryside.
The Security Council on Saturday unanimously adopted a 30-day ceasefire to allow for humanitarian aid deliveries and medical evacuations.
Regime airstrikes and artillery have been pounding the enclave near Damascus since Feb 18, with at least 519 killed since the bombing campaign was launched.

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۵, شنبه

France and Germany ask Putin to stop Syria attacks, hope for ceasefire



French President Emmanuel Macron and Germanys Chancellor Angela Merkel arrive at a European Union heads of state informal meeting in Brussels, Belgium

- German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron hoped world powers would agree a Syria ceasefire on Friday after they asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to back a corresponding U.N. Security Council resolution.
The two European Union leaders appealed to Putin -- whose military intervention in Syria gave President Bashar al-Assad the upper hand in the seven-year-old conflict -- to stop bombardments of the rebel-held pocket of eastern Ghouta.
Warplanes from Assad’s government forces and their allies pounded the densely populated enclave east of the capital Damascus for a sixth straight day on Friday.
“France and Germany call for an immediate cessation of hostilities and the implementation of a ceasefire to provide civilian support, humanitarian access and medical evacuation, as called for by the UN,” the two governments said.
“France and Germany call on Russia to shoulder its responsibilities in this regard,” they said in a joint statement as Macron and Merkel met other EU leaders for talks in Brussels.
Following the meeting, EU leaders’ chairman, Donald Tusk told reporters: “The Assad regime is brutally attacking innocent men, women and children. Its backers, Russia and Iran, are allowing this to happen.”
He urged them to stop the violence. The EU called for an immediate ceasefire, urgent humanitarian access to and protection of civilians, he said.
Diplomatic sources told Reuters Merkel and Macron - who both said they hoped the ceasefire would be agreed - were also due to call Putin together after the vote in New York, which had been delayed.
Moscow, which has the power to veto U.N. Security Council resolutions, has often in the past blocked texts that would be damaging to Assad. Russia said on Friday it was ready to support the draft resolution, but with caveats.
The EU as a whole has only played a marginal role in the international diplomacy around the conflict in Syria, where the multi-sided war has killed hundreads of thousands and driven millions from their homes.
The bloc is trying to leverage its role as the world’s top aid donor to woo Assad back into the stalled U.N. peace talks, which have achieved little over the years.
The talks are now deadlocked as Damascus, Moscow and their other ally Tehran attempt a final push to re-establish Assad’s rule.

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۴, جمعه

Iran: Demonstrations of Educators, Workers, Retirees and Looted People in Tehran and Across the Country



In Mashhad, looted people protested against the Caspian Branch on Khayyam Street.

On Wednesday February 21, 2018, Tehran and other cities witnessed protests held by educators, workers, retirees and looted people of government institutions including Caspian, Afzal Toos, Arman Vahdat and others.
An important part of the protesters in front of the parliament was the looted people who were chanting slogans of: “They are using Islam, to pound the people”; “Larijani is a judge, he is playmate with the thieves”; “the government betrays; Parliament supports it”; “n o other nation has ever seen such a shameless government”.
The looted members of the Arman Vahdat state institution from different cities, especially Ahvaz, participated in the rally.
The retired educators, who were among the demonstrators in front of the regime's Parliament, were chanting: “livelihood, dignity, is our inalienable right”, “we will not rest, until we get our rights”, “political prisoner must be freed”, “imprisoned teacher must be freed”, “the teacher is behind bars, the classroom is empty”. They were saying while the minimum wage set by the regime itself is four million tomans ($800), they are paid less than one million tomans and are unable to provide the basic needs for themselves and their families. The protesters, in whom women played a significant role, had banners reading: “Unity, awakening, not poverty not unemployment”, “bread, housing, freedom”, “effective insurance and free treatment is our absolute right”, “the looters of the short-term pension funds must be fired”, “the fight against corruption and embezzlement ensures the legal and welfare protection of retirees.”
The retired workers protesting in front of the parliament, all of whose rights and salaries were lost by the so-called social security organization of the regime, had a banner in their hands reading: The workers' community has no savior.
At the same time, looted victims of Caspian in Rasht, Mashhad, Parsabad, Ardebil and Abhar protested to get their deposits back. In Rasht, protested threw paint balls at the Caspian Golsar Branch glasses and tossed tomatoes and eggs to it
.
In Parsabad, Ardebil, looted people gathered and protested in the Caspian Branch, and a confrontation between the protesters and the staff took place.
In Mashhad, looted people protested against the Caspian Branch on Khayyam Street. They chanted: Caspian has stolen, the government has supported;
In Islamshahr, the looted people of the Asr Novin Institute protested in front of Azad University to get back their deposits.

About 300 workers gathered in protest against the non-accountability of social security in front of the old Parliament building of the regime in Tehran.
Workers at Kisson Company in Assalouyeh gathered for the third consecutive day in protest to non-payment of their five months' salary.
Erin Mitsubishi's workers and depositors gathered in front of the company in West Tehran in protest of the looting of their property.
In Gorgan, bakeries gathered in front of one of the centers of the industry, mining and trade organization in protest of the lack of job security.
Secretariat of the National Council of Resistance of Iran

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۳, پنجشنبه

Menendez Statement on Assad Regime’s Deadly Bombardment in East Ghouta



U.S. Senator Bob Menendez

WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, today issued the following statement condemning the Assad regime after pro-government forces, backed by Russia and Iran, brutally bombarded a Damascus suburb killing hundreds of people and injuring even more.
“I am appalled and sickened by the escalation in violence the Assad regime and its backers have inflicted in East Ghouta.  The number of dead and wounded civilians, including women and children, combined with attacks on medical facilities are staggering and another indication that this regime’s actions amount to war crimes for which it must be held accountable.
“While I support the Administration’s call for all parties to commit to an unconditional de-escalation of violence, and a cessation of violence to allow for unfettered humanitarian access and medical evacuation, these actions are the bare minimum that we should be seeking. I urge the Trump Administration to set its objectives higher and move beyond words and tweets to decisive diplomatic leadership to protect civilians and hold Assad and his backers accountable.
“President Trump still believes that Russia can be a partner in compelling the Assad regime to stop killing the Syrian people, and in diminishing Iran’s role in Syria. He must confront the facts: Russia and Iran have directly supported the escalation in violence over the past 72 hours; facilitating the slaughter of innocent lives.
“Russia is not a partner for ending the war in Syria.  Assad and his regime are able to act with impunity because of support from the thugs, criminals, and butchers in Moscow and Tehran.  Now is the time to use the authorities from Congress to make it deeply painful for any person still willing to support Assad, and reclaim the mantle of U.S. leadership by galvanizing a political process to end the Syrian war.”

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۲, چهارشنبه

Iranian Resistance demands cancelation of speech by mullahs’ Justice Minister at UN Human Rights Council



National Council of Resistance of Iran

The Iranian Resistance condemns in the strongest terms the planned trip by the Iranian regime’s Justice Minister Alireza Avaei, a perpetrator of the 1988 massacre, to Geneva to address the United Nations Human Rights Council. It calls for his speech to be cancelled and for Avaei to face arrest and prosecution for crimes against humanity.
Avaei was a perpetrator of the 1988 massacre of political prisoners and a member of the Death Commission in Khuzestan Province that sent many political prisoners to execution during the massacre. Between 1979 and 1988, he was the General and Revolutionary Prosecutor in Dezful and Ahvaz.
During the 1988 massacre, he was the Prosecutor-General of Dezful and on Khomeini’s order was appointed as a member of the Death Commission in Khuzestan Province, and he was responsible for the execution of many prisoners in Dezful’s UNESCO Prison. According to eye-witnesses, prisoners who were minors were hanged in groups of two or three in a secluded area behind the UNESCO Prison’s courtyard on the orders of Avaei.
Based on the definition of the Rome Statute, the 1988 massacre constitutes a crime against humanity. Following a fatwa by Khomeini, more than 30,000 political prisoners, mostly members of the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI / MEK), were arbitrarily executed in a matter of a few months.
In later years, Avaei was head of the mullahs' department of justice in the provinces of Lorestan, Markazi and Isfahan. He was President of the Judiciary in Tehran Province from 2005 to 2014. Afterwards he became Deputy Interior Minister, and in July 2016 Rouhani appointed him as Head of the Presidency’s Inspectorate Office.
Avaei’s name was added to the European Union ’s sanctions list in October 2011 for human rights abuses and direct participation in the torture and massacre of political prisoners.
While blacklisting Avaei in 2011, the EU stated: “As President of Tehran Judiciary he has been responsible for human rights violations, arbitrary arrests, denials of prisoners’ rights and increase of executions.”
An address by Avaei to the Human Rights Council would make a mockery of the United Nations and its human rights mechanisms and would tell the mullahs’ regime that the international community is willing to turn a blind eye to the gravest of human rights abuses. In addition to four decades of crimes against humanity, Avaei today as the regime’s Justice Minister bears responsibility for the brutal suppression of popular protests and the arrest of at least 8000 people, and the torture to death of detainees.
In light of Avaei’s lifetime record of crimes against humanity, the only platform in Europe from which he should be allowed to make an address is before the defendant’s stand at an international criminal tribunal.

۱۳۹۶ اسفند ۱, سه‌شنبه

Khamenei’s late confession to injustice, to regime’s lack of capacity for reform, and desperate attempt to escape his doomed overthrow



National Council of Resistance of Iran

On Sunday 18 February, in fear of the nationwide uprising and anger and hatred of the frustrated people, Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of the falling regime of mullahs, made a late confession to injustice in the mullahs’ regime, and said: 'We are completely aware of the people’s criticisms, and their complaints; We have been told; others have been told too and these words are conveyed to us…. When we say they could criticize, it doesn’t mean that they only criticize the government or the judiciary or the parliament; no, somebody may also criticize this humble person (me) too.” He added, “We are retarded in justice, there is no doubt about it; we acknowledge, and we admit… Regarding the justice, we should try hard, we should work, and we should apologize to the Almighty God and the dear people. We have problems in justice.”
Khamenei’s apology merely reminds the Shah’s message in November 1978, two months before he fled Iran, when he said: 'I heard the message of your revolution.' Khamenei's words are also delirium of the regime’s collapse. He is making this apology at a time when his crimes have not diminished whatsoever, and every day there is news about the killing under torture by the mullahs’ regime’s henchmen of those who were arrested in the uprising. Khamenei is the greatest thief in Iran's history and the great killer of Iranian people. He and other leaders of the regime have done nothing over the past four decades but robbery, mass executions, massacres and torture.
At the same time, Khamenei once again admitted that any reform and modification within this regime or its constitution is absolutely a mirage and would lead to the overthrow of the regime. 'The administration of the country is respected, the constitution is respected, the constitution must be respected; this structure must be respected; (so must be) all the principles of the constitution ... the revolution, that is, the revolutionary system, this Islamic system,' he said. 
In the course of the January heroic uprising, the Iranian people gave their response to this late remorse with the slogans of “death to the principle of Velayat-e-Faqih” and “Down with the mullahs’ rule”. With this foolish tactic, he will not be able to rescue his broken and totally corrupt system from overthrow. Iran's youth are determined to cleanse the occupied Iran from the existence of the regime of killers and looters forever.

Iranian public opinion surveys cannot be trusted



A university student attends a protest inside Tehran University while a smoke grenade is thrown by

Imagine this: You live in Iran, a suppressive theocracy and a police state with half a dozen security and intelligence organizations; a country whose leadership and senior officials warn you every day that anti-regime sentiments are tantamount to rebellion against God and are punishable by death. Your compatriots are in the midst of a nationwide revolt against the ruling system, young men and women protesters are regularly arrested and their tortured dead bodies are later delivered to their families; your phones are monitored, and your freedom of speech is taken away from you. Then your phone suddenly rings: It’s a survey about your support for the regime change movement. Frightening.
Public opinion under Iran’s theocratic and authoritarian rule can be better understood through qualitative methods such as people’s true expressions in public and private spaces. For example, since December 28, 2017, tens of thousands of Iranians have poured on to the streets of many cities across Iran’s provinces to protest against corruption, the thievery and tyranny of the ruling theocracy, and its funding of proxy armies and terrorists across the region.
The protesters echoed national sentiments with chants of “death to the dictator,” “death to (Supreme Leader Ali) Khamenei,” “death to (President Hassan) Rouhani,” “reformists, hardliners, your game is now over,” “mullahs, have shame and let go of our country,” and “we will die but will take our country back.”
Obtaining public opinion in Iran through traditional methods comes with many limitations. For example, a new report indicated that only 16.4 percent of Iranians agree that “Iran’s political system needs to undergo fundamental change.” That would mean 68 million people in Iran don’t see a need for fundamental change.
First of all, the demographics and realities on the ground strongly point to the opposite conclusion. More than a quarter of young people aged between 15 and 24 are unemployed; more than 40 percent of the population live below the relative poverty line; and at least 11 million people are currently living in slums around the large cities.
Secondly, such statistics contradict the findings of a report issued by Iran’s own Interior Ministry on Feb. 3. The Ministry pointed out that “people’s trust in the regime has been diminished, institutions have lost their effectiveness.” It added that: “The slogans raised in the protests were 30 percent economical, 70 percent political, and 75 percent of the people sympathized with the demonstrators in 80 Iranian cities.”
In addition, by any definition Iran is ruled by, to put it mildly, an authoritarian regime — therefore any reports of people’s opinions ought to have reference to the prevailing repressive and authoritarian environment as a caveat.
Furthermore, any report on Iran’s public opinion ought to provide detailed and specific data about the process. Any poll result must be accompanied with information about how it was conducted and specific data about its demographic (gender, age, occupation, etc.), validity, survey reliability, response rate, margin of error, and other critical measurements.
It is worth noting that the Iranian regime often attempts to exploit public opinion reports. As Prof. Cale Horne, of Covenant College in the US, has written: “In places where dissenting opinions may be punished harshly, the reliability and validity of politically sensitive public surveys is far from self-evident.” He adds that “when politically sensitive questions have been asked in repressive contexts, data quality has been questionable.” Prof. Horne asks: “To what extent can opinion surveys on politically sensitive topics reflect public opinion in countries intolerant of political dissent?”
Finally, regarding sensitive questions, would any rational observer really expect that an Iranian respondent would give an honest answer to questions regarding national security issues and the regime’s legitimacy over the phone? ​Would the respondent not assume that this is just another ploy by the rulers’ security institutions to identify the potential regime changers?
In a nutshell, the public opinion of Iranian people can be more effectively found in the people’s sophisticated, nuanced and delicate day-to-day resistance to the regime, the widespread protests and chants, as well as activities on various social media platforms in both the Persian and English languages.
 
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist. He is a leading expert on Iran and US foreign policy, a businessman and president of the International American Council. He serves on the boards of the Harvard International Review, the Harvard International Relations Council and the US-Middle East Chamber for Commerce and Business.  

۱۳۹۶ بهمن ۳۰, دوشنبه

Iranian Regime Using Cyber Warfare Against Civilians to Preserve Theocracy



The report details how the IRGC’s Ministry of Intelligence allegedly creates apps that are downloaded by or unwittingly installed onto Iranians phones and then used as tools to spy on them.

 Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has reportedly engaged in a series of coordinated cyber warfare tactics to spy on, police, and arrest the Iranian people to secure its theocracy.
On Thursday, the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) released a report titled, “Iran: Cyber Repression; How the IRGC Uses Cyberwarfare to Preserve the Theocracy.” The report details how the IRGC’s Ministry of Intelligence allegedly creates apps that are downloaded by or unwittingly installed onto Iranians phones and then used as tools to spy on them.
Cyber repression also occurred during the 2018 uprising, which began on December 28 and continues to this day.
“Some 142 cities were engulfed in the demonstrations that took place against Khamenei, Rouhani, and the reformers,” Alireza Jafarzadeh, NCRI’s deputy director said.
Credit: NCRI 
                                          Credit: NCRI
On Wednesday, Jafarzadeh presented a detailed report of the IRGC’s extensive infiltration into civil society through apps created by the regime to mimic Telegram and Instagram.
According to Jafarzadeh, there are 48 million mobile users in Iran; that figure is a 48,000-percent increase since 2009, when the so-called “Green Revolution” took place in reaction to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s fraudulent re-election to the office of the presidency.
Telegram is by far the most widely used and popular messaging platform for Iranians because it has encryption capabilities. Instagram is the second-most popular social media platform used by Iranians.
Mobile apps like Telegram and Instagram gave the protesters the ability to organize throughout various cities. The regime blocked those applications, forcing the Iranian people to use the Iranian regime’s alternate applications which allows them to spy on the people.
He said the regime launched an extensive cyber PSYOP and social engineering effort to lure users away from Telegram, spread fake news, and fake photos.
The regime reportedly has “close to 100 domestically designed apps, unofficial form versions of Telegram,” according to Jafarzadeh’s presentation.
Credit: NCRI
                                            Credit: NCRI
Mobogram, Telegram Farsi, Hotgram, Wispi, Black Telegram, and Telegram Talayi are some of the names of these unofficial, knock-off versions of Telegram.
The regime also has a domestic app marketplace called Cafe Bazaar where users can buy programs and software.
According to the presentation, Cafe Bazaar is for Android and was cofounded by Hessam Mir Armandehi; a graduate of Sharif University of Technology.
At least two of the IRGC’s spyware apps, Mobogram and Wispi, are available for download from Apple, Inc. “This is a mobile app created by the IRGC to spy on and arrest protesters,” Jafarzadeh said.
The other IRGC apps include Hotgram, Telegram Farsi, Telegram Talayi (gold), and Telegram Black.
Credit: NCRI
                                                      Credit: NCRI
Jafarzadeh said the tactics of the IRGC are focused on mass surveillance using “malicious codes embedded in the IRGC mobile apps” which he said disrupts the communication of and between dissidents. These are closely monitored.
Jafarzadeh said Iran’s cyber warfare is a sign of weakness and not strength that stems from “fear and desperation.”
He also noted that Hanista is an IRGC front company introduced as a programming group which focuses on enabling Iran’s cyber commerce with mobile apps in Farsi. Hanista is controlled by the IRGC’s Intelligence organization.
Mobogram, an app developed by Hanista, is reportedly also presented as “an alternative to Telegram,” blocked by the regime at the onset of the recent protests. “It’s controlled environment lets the regime surveil users, identify and arrest protesters,” a slide during the presentation read. Mobogram is an unofficial Farsi-language version of the original Telegram app that was developed under the supervision of the IRGC and IRGC Intelligence units.
“Malware analysis of top 6 apps indicates consistent threat score of 100/100,” NCRI’s report notes.  The report also notes that these apps have the ability to:
1. execute code after reboot
2. open an Internet connection
3. dial a phone number
4. record audio
5. read device ID (IMEI or ESN)
6. send an SMS
7. have Spyware/Information Retrieval (found on Wispi app installs a monitor for incoming SMS)
8. execute bot commands
9. access external storage
10. query the phone locations (GPS)
11. find a reference to an external IP address lookup service
12. antivirus detection – check for presence
13. anti-reverse engineering to look for debuggers/analysis tools
14. embedded IP address in binary/memory with a port assignment so user’s data can be sent bi-directionally
“There some reports from end users that these apps automatically remove telegram channels associated with opposition or uprising,” Jafarzadeh said. “There needs to be a concerted effort from the intentional community to address these issues.”
According to Thursday’s event, Mohammad-Javad Azari Jahromi, the Minister of Information and Communications Technology (ICT), worked in close collaboration with the head of IRGC’s Intelligence organization, Hossein Taeb. Jahromi. A key member of President Hassan Rouhani’s inner circle, he was also involved in shutting down Telegram.
Jafarzadeh said he was engaged in the design and deployment of Iran’s surveillance infrastructure, including filtering and blacklisting URLs, hosts and keywords. He said the regime acquired this technology from the West. “Ironically, they use western technology to their advantage. The regime has weaponized western technology against its own people,” Jafarzadeh said.
He added that Hojiat Al Islam Mehdi Taeb (head of Ammar Cyber Base) and his deputy is Hojjat Al Islam Alireza Panahian (Deputy for Ammar Cyber Base also known as Ammar Cultural Base) are focused solely on cyber operations.
 Credit: NCRI
                                            Credit: NCRI

During Thursday’s presser, Jafarzadeh said that the IRGC’s growing cyber warfare tactics violates Article 19 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
He said the People’s Mojaheddin Organization of Iran (PMOI), through their MEK (Mojaheddin-e-Khalq) network in Iran, was able to access this information on the ground during the uprising.
Jafarzadeh explained that Iran’s cyber warfare program stems from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the top. Jafarzadeh quoted Khamenei as having said that “cyberspace is as significant as the Islamic revolution” and, “If I wasn’t the leader of the revolution, I would definitely be in charge of the cyberspace of Iran.
Asked by Breitbart News what steps can be taken to thwart the IRGC’s destructive behavior and continuous assault on the rights of its citizens, Jafarzadeh said:
There has to be a serious interest on behalf of the international community, especially the United States. I truly believe if there is a will there is a way. They can find ways to sabotage the IRGC in their cyber warfare, prevent them from what they’re doing and at the same time provide free access to free Internet for the rest of the population.